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These Swing State Midterm Races Could Decide the Fate of Abortion

People protest in support of women's rights.

If you live in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or North Carolina, your vote could determine your state's future.

With the midterm elections just two weeks away, abortion access remains a key voter issue.

As two-thirds of the country believe abortion should be legal, the issue has overwhelmingly swayed voters to support Democratic candidates. As more abortion bans are enacted across the country, casting your vote in the upcoming election is crucial.

While Vermont, Kentucky, California, Michigan, and Montana are letting voters directly decide on abortion legality, certain candidate's races in several swing states could also determine the legality of the procedure.


Pennsylvania

Efforts to ban abortion in the state of Pennsylvania have been thwarted only by Democratic Governor Tom Wolf. The Republican-controlled state House and Senate have already passed legislation restricting the procedure, which Wolf has vetoed.

This year's race to replace Wolf could decide the fate of abortion rights in Pennsylvania. Democratic nominee Josh Shapiro, who has been serving as the state's attorney general, has promised to protect abortion if elected.

In contrast, his Republican opponent Doug Mastriano has been endorsed by former president Donald Trump, and has said at campaign events that “Roe V. Wade is rightly relegated to the ash heap of history.” Mastriano also believes people who receive abortions should be charged with murder, and proposed a 2019 fetal-heartbeat bill in the state as a Senator.

Wisconsin

Wisconsin is also home to a Democratic Governor, Tony Evers, who has fought to repeal the state's existing abortion restrictions. While his special legislative session failed to remove the ban, Democratic Attorney General Josh Kaul has refused to prosecute abortion providers or patients, and has directed local attorneys to follow suit.

Kaul also filed a lawsuit to challenge a law from 1849 banning abortion that went back into effect after the overturning of Roe V. Wade by the Supreme Court. SCOTUS will also decide if the Wisconsin law can be enforced.

Violators of Wisconsin's ban already face up to six years in prison alongside a $10,000 fine. Kaul is running for reelection this year against Republican Eric Toney, who believes patients should be prosecuted for crossing state lines to receive the procedure.

North Carolina

Like in Pennsylvania, North Carolina's Democratic Governor Roy Cooper has almost single-handedly protected abortion rights in the state. He even recently signed an executive order protecting patients who travel from out of state to receive care.

While Cooper is not up for reelection this year, Republicans just need to flip five seats (three in the House and two in the Senate) to have a supermajority in the state legislature. With those seats, they could override executive orders from Cooper, and may even pass an abortion ban.

House Speaker Tim Moore has suggested passing a fetal heartbeat bill, whereas State Senate leader Phil Berger supports banning abortion after the first trimester. Both are Republicans.

As home to the infamous SCOTUS gerrymandering cases, North Carolina has also seen blue-leaning areas redistricted, making races between Democrats and Republicans tight within the state.

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Ryan Adamczeski

Digital Director

Ryan is the Digital Director of The Advocate Channel, and a graduate of New York University Tisch's Department of Dramatic Writing, with a focus in television writing and comedy. She is also a member of GALECA, the LGBTQ+ society of entertainment critics.

Ryan is the Digital Director of The Advocate Channel, and a graduate of New York University Tisch's Department of Dramatic Writing, with a focus in television writing and comedy. She is also a member of GALECA, the LGBTQ+ society of entertainment critics.